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Feb 25Liked by Stephen Johnston

Did the birthrate in Nagareyama go up or did families with kids move to Nagareyama and then contribute their statistics to that place? It's just that in many place families move, especially as they transition through the stages. So one place offering better childcare should contribute to the birthrate of all people who can imagine moving there. I know where I live in Australia people move here when their kids are around 6/7 because the schools are good - both private and public. But I'm not as convinced DINKYs live here as much because it is dull...

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These are good and important questions! We should ask the Mayor. I guess at some level, does it matter - if people who are likely to have 2-3 kids move there anyway, they do it because there life will be better. So this success should encourage others to emulate it.

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I guess I'm keen to understand the drivers behind the statistics, but also to understand how the statistics were calculated. In the developing world a mother's education level is the greatest influence on families having fewer children. https://wol.iza.org/uploads/articles/228/pdfs/female-education-and-its-impact-on-fertility.pdf - perhaps less educated mothers move to this town?

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